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Football matches forecasting using three mathematical statistical methods
Всего комментариев: 7
 0 Спам 7 Alla   (26.12.2010 20:34) The methods are really working, but... The author didn't mentioned different internal(such as psychological) and external (the factor of climatic change- players from Argentina having match in China) factors. The probability of occurrence decrease. Nevertheless, the second method is impressive.

 0 Спам 6 Назикжан Монтаева   (18.12.2010 18:34) it's amazing scientific reasearch!!! you shouldn't stop doing it =) May be some day we will be able to predict even not only quantity of goals but even who will make this goaals =)

 0 Спам 5 Anastasiya Rogozhina   (17.12.2010 21:46) This article is a great example, how students can use their statistical knowledge. It was interesting to read about both methods of forcasting. But, as for me, the second method is more impressive, because of the accurate results.

 0 Спам 4 Anastasiya Deshevikh   (17.12.2010 16:11) Oh yes, the second method is very interesting! I'm sure these methods of calculating, always will be interesting for football fans. After I learned of the Bayes formula, I want to test it in practice. No need to be psychic, you just need to know the statistics and anticipate events on the basis of calculations.

 0 Спам 3 Anara Kipatova   (16.12.2010 14:47) Very interesting article, but it's not always the truth, that home match team has higher probability to win match than guest team, it depends on the command more. For those who for a long time in football, probability of a victory is higher, than for a young command. Although statistical method is interesting thing for estimation)

 0 Спам 2 Yekaterina Sukhova   (14.12.2010 21:55) Wow, that was a good piece of reading, thanks to the author. Really thought-provoking. Football, unfortunately, depends not only on historical data, but pretty much on team members, who, as we know, can be traded, and this factor (oh no, I don't know how) should be taken into consideration. If you find a way to do so (maybe somehow considering personal "productivity" of each player separately, which is a HUGE work, really time- and effort-consuming), it would be a great step forward. All aforesaid is just a humble opinion, of course) Thanks again, Yekaterina Sukhova

 0 Спам 1 Kanat   (14.12.2010 09:00) Now we have the results of the predicted games. Manchester United (50%) won Arsenal 1:0 Tottenham played draw game with Chelsea. 1:1 In the last situation it was not so clear as we had equal probabilities (36%) for two situations: draw game or Tott's victory. Next step is to define which of the equals more probable.

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